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#26 2022-08-20 02:29:15

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

cramer

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TesticularFortitude
#27 2022-09-01 04:34:59

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

The inability for the S&P 500 to go back over the 200 day moving average is interesting and hasnt happened in the last 10 years hmmm
s_and_p_200_day_moving_average.png

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TesticularFortitude
#28 2022-09-03 01:30:49

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

btfd! spaz

oversold_nasdaq.PNG

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RockHardConservative
#29 2022-09-03 02:41:09

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

Is there a $300 strike for SPY for October yet?

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#30 2022-09-03 02:43:26

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

RockHardConservative wrote:

Is there a $300 strike for SPY for October yet?

Have you stopped whining and crying about Phil yet, you whimpering little faggot?

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#31 2022-09-03 02:57:33

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

OK. Here is your tip Heekee >>> Put 25% into oil/gas investments but otherwise get everything else the fuq out of the market now and into cash.  Put your cash into US Treasury Inflation Protected Securities.

Oil is going back up, no matter what you may hear. Diesel and heating oil inventories are low and not getting built up sufficiently. Usually the Mideast ships oil to europe and others in Oct, Nov period to build winter inventories. It is unlikely to happen this year in sufficient quantity. Diesel shortages mean logistics costs rise, means inflation rises. There are oil and gas shortages that are not going away. Food commodities are also going up, especially wheat and corn due to the drought. It is estimated that Ag will be in short supply for several years due to weather and fertilizer issues. So inflation is going up again, or at least not going down much anytime soon. I would say the summary was very negative as to the market. I did not hear anyone who said it was going up from here other than some small, short term jumps up to be followed by down, and possibly down a lot.

As to geopolitics, there is a lot of concern as to where the war and China and Iran are headed. Nowhere good. Germany made itself totally dependent on Russia and China, and now they are screwed.  Merkel was a disaster. One person on the call has insight into geopolitics and says the Iran deal will happen despite it having been dead until now. China is in deep trouble. As the residential market has cratered, consumers feel angry and, they have lost money on the declining value, and so have cut back on spending, making the economic impact even worse than just the real estate problems. One person suggested Xi was in trouble, but Pelosi was the gift from heaven because she gave him the way to change the subject from the collapsing economy, and to look like he was taking on the US. I am now 78% cash and energy. It is risk off time. Anyone who tells you the market is going to go up from here, and inflation is headed down a lot from here, is simply not informed.

It has now been verified that the Saudis lied about their real reserves maybe by as much as 80 billion barrels. Some oil experts believe Saudi may be at peak daily production now. The UAE recently told Macron they also have no excess capacity. If so, the only place where there is real accessible spare production is the US with fracking and offshore drilling, and the climate crazies have stopped that. All the majors are returning cash as dividends and buybacks, not new drilling. Guess where oil prices go from here even if Iran comes back on.

Powell’s speech was as expected. 75 in September and maybe again in October. It is possible they go a full 1% in September. The Fed is not going to back down now, and that means into 2023, and maybe late 2023 if inflation remains higher than expected, as I think it will. Don’t fight the Fed. There is little chance energy and food costs will decrease for quite a while. The longer the job market seems to remain decent, the more wages rise to keep up with inflation. While other goods might decline in price, and as housing prices decline, inflation may drop a little, but not enough. The drop in gas prices that drove the recent drop in inflation is likely over. Rents are not going to suddenly drop a lot since there is simply too few units for the demand as rates remain high, which means new home purchases remain too low. In short, there are a lot of cross currents now.

What we do have is a bifurcation in the population. The number of people behind in utility bills is at a record high of 20 million, and headed higher. Food and gas will continue to eat savings of lower income and middle- class people. They may be employed, but they are living paycheck to paycheck. The upper income people can pay their bills, but what I hear out here in the Hamptons where people have a lot of money, is that prices are now to the point of absurd. A simple cocktail is now $25. A good meal with a cocktail and wine is well over $100 for nothing special. People are starting to say this is getting too costly. Not that they can’t afford it, but the high prices are getting some people to maybe not go out to dinner as often. There is no question the economy is going to slow much further over the next year. Powell told you that is going to happen until they break inflation expectations. That will take time. Earnings will come down, and the future will be harder to predict. And all of that leaves out the black swans mentioned above. So, if you think the stock market is going to stage a sustained rally from here, let me know what drugs you are on-I want some. I sold a large portion of my remaining non-energy portfolio on Wednesday in anticipation of the Powel ice bath.

europe will be in recession shortly, along with unprecedented inflation. The european central bank just raised 50BP for the first time in ten years. Energy conservation will slow the economy and cause popular discontent. Gas prices in the EU are at all-time high, and going higher. Utility bills in the UK are going up 80% in October. That is the true cost of ESG policies. higher natural gas prices means fertilizer costs go up, means food prices go up. The drought just adds to food cost inflation. There is an agriculture crisis developing and no way to prevent it. Interest rates are going higher to prevent another 1970’s inflation crisis. That creates pressure on sovereign debt, especially in countries like Italy. Rates will not go back down for a long time. We are not going back to near zero or negative rates. Real rates are still negative, so there is more upside to nominal rates. EU consumer confidence has fallen off the cliff, even worse than in the pandemic. The EU is a mess and getting worse. For a long time I have been saying europe was a bad investment, and now it has come to be even worse than I had forecast.

Over the next 4 months the following will be decided: the recession will get worse or not, Germany will have an energy crisis, Republicans will, or not, take the senate, the Ukraine war may reach a deciding point, China might invade in late December, inflation might go back up, oil prices may go back up, Trump may get indicted setting off a real political crisis just before the election, China may fall into recession or come close, the Fed may continue to raise rates more than the market expects, UK inflation might hit 18%, the Iran deal may get signed setting off a new Mideast crisis. Do you really want to be at risk during the next 4 months?

The student loan forgiveness is illegal, and may never happen. If it does, it is a $500 billion addition to spending, in effect, with no way to cover the cost. This on top of the recent Manchin bill, infrastructure, chip subsidies, and the other spending bills. It is trillions more spend with inflation at a near record. It sends all the wrong messages to young people and universities.

Cash and energy will be king.  Inflation will eat the shyt out of your cash so put that into Treasury Inflation Protected Securities.  Everything else in Biden's America is going down the tubes.

And for fuqs sake Heekee, get rid of Phil.

........................................................................

Heekee
#32 2022-09-03 03:08:16

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

wrote:

OK. Here is your tip Heekee >>> Put 25% into oil/gas investments but otherwise get everything else the fuq out of the market now and into cash.  Put your cash into US Treasury Inflation Protected Securities.

Oil is going back up, no matter what you may hear. Diesel and heating oil inventories are low and not getting built up sufficiently. Usually the Mideast ships oil to europe and others in Oct, Nov period to build winter inventories. It is unlikely to happen this year in sufficient quantity. Diesel shortages mean logistics costs rise, means inflation rises. There are oil and gas shortages that are not going away. Food commodities are also going up, especially wheat and corn due to the drought. It is estimated that Ag will be in short supply for several years due to weather and fertilizer issues. So inflation is going up again, or at least not going down much anytime soon. I would say the summary was very negative as to the market. I did not hear anyone who said it was going up from here other than some small, short term jumps up to be followed by down, and possibly down a lot.

As to geopolitics, there is a lot of concern as to where the war and China and Iran are headed. Nowhere good. Germany made itself totally dependent on Russia and China, and now they are screwed.  Merkel was a disaster. One person on the call has insight into geopolitics and says the Iran deal will happen despite it having been dead until now. China is in deep trouble. As the residential market has cratered, consumers feel angry and, they have lost money on the declining value, and so have cut back on spending, making the economic impact even worse than just the real estate problems. One person suggested Xi was in trouble, but Pelosi was the gift from heaven because she gave him the way to change the subject from the collapsing economy, and to look like he was taking on the US. I am now 78% cash and energy. It is risk off time. Anyone who tells you the market is going to go up from here, and inflation is headed down a lot from here, is simply not informed.

It has now been verified that the Saudis lied about their real reserves maybe by as much as 80 billion barrels. Some oil experts believe Saudi may be at peak daily production now. The UAE recently told Macron they also have no excess capacity. If so, the only place where there is real accessible spare production is the US with fracking and offshore drilling, and the climate crazies have stopped that. All the majors are returning cash as dividends and buybacks, not new drilling. Guess where oil prices go from here even if Iran comes back on.

Powell’s speech was as expected. 75 in September and maybe again in October. It is possible they go a full 1% in September. The Fed is not going to back down now, and that means into 2023, and maybe late 2023 if inflation remains higher than expected, as I think it will. Don’t fight the Fed. There is little chance energy and food costs will decrease for quite a while. The longer the job market seems to remain decent, the more wages rise to keep up with inflation. While other goods might decline in price, and as housing prices decline, inflation may drop a little, but not enough. The drop in gas prices that drove the recent drop in inflation is likely over. Rents are not going to suddenly drop a lot since there is simply too few units for the demand as rates remain high, which means new home purchases remain too low. In short, there are a lot of cross currents now.

What we do have is a bifurcation in the population. The number of people behind in utility bills is at a record high of 20 million, and headed higher. Food and gas will continue to eat savings of lower income and middle- class people. They may be employed, but they are living paycheck to paycheck. The upper income people can pay their bills, but what I hear out here in the Hamptons where people have a lot of money, is that prices are now to the point of absurd. A simple cocktail is now $25. A good meal with a cocktail and wine is well over $100 for nothing special. People are starting to say this is getting too costly. Not that they can’t afford it, but the high prices are getting some people to maybe not go out to dinner as often. There is no question the economy is going to slow much further over the next year. Powell told you that is going to happen until they break inflation expectations. That will take time. Earnings will come down, and the future will be harder to predict. And all of that leaves out the black swans mentioned above. So, if you think the stock market is going to stage a sustained rally from here, let me know what drugs you are on-I want some. I sold a large portion of my remaining non-energy portfolio on Wednesday in anticipation of the Powel ice bath.

europe will be in recession shortly, along with unprecedented inflation. The european central bank just raised 50BP for the first time in ten years. Energy conservation will slow the economy and cause popular discontent. Gas prices in the EU are at all-time high, and going higher. Utility bills in the UK are going up 80% in October. That is the true cost of ESG policies. higher natural gas prices means fertilizer costs go up, means food prices go up. The drought just adds to food cost inflation. There is an agriculture crisis developing and no way to prevent it. Interest rates are going higher to prevent another 1970’s inflation crisis. That creates pressure on sovereign debt, especially in countries like Italy. Rates will not go back down for a long time. We are not going back to near zero or negative rates. Real rates are still negative, so there is more upside to nominal rates. EU consumer confidence has fallen off the cliff, even worse than in the pandemic. The EU is a mess and getting worse. For a long time I have been saying europe was a bad investment, and now it has come to be even worse than I had forecast.

Over the next 4 months the following will be decided: the recession will get worse or not, Germany will have an energy crisis, Republicans will, or not, take the senate, the Ukraine war may reach a deciding point, China might invade in late December, inflation might go back up, oil prices may go back up, Trump may get indicted setting off a real political crisis just before the election, China may fall into recession or come close, the Fed may continue to raise rates more than the market expects, UK inflation might hit 18%, the Iran deal may get signed setting off a new Mideast crisis. Do you really want to be at risk during the next 4 months?

The student loan forgiveness is illegal, and may never happen. If it does, it is a $500 billion addition to spending, in effect, with no way to cover the cost. This on top of the recent Manchin bill, infrastructure, chip subsidies, and the other spending bills. It is trillions more spend with inflation at a near record. It sends all the wrong messages to young people and universities.

Cash and energy will be king.  Inflation will eat the shyt out of your cash so put that into Treasury Inflation Protected Securities.  Everything else in Biden's America is going down the tubes.

And for fuqs sake Heekee, get rid of Phil.

Thank you! those are great suggestions potd

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RockHardConservative
#33 2022-09-03 03:19:47

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

wrote:

Have you stopped whining and crying about Phil yet, you whimpering little faggot?

RHCDS  snicker

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TesticularFortitude
#34 2022-10-01 12:11:36

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

lol
biden_stock_market_selfie_ukraine.png

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.,
#35 2022-10-01 12:36:06

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

GingerPubes wrote:

Any of you buying the dip on bitcoin today? lol
winning_stox.gif

lol

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.,
#36 2022-10-01 12:40:19

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

Heekee wrote:

ARKK now under $80 aaahhh

Cathy Wood loves the setup lol

cathy_wood_blax.png

of course she loves this shyt, she makes a commission whether the index goes up or down. That fuqing turd is still down %65 percent (it'll turn any day now....lol).

No doubt she loves the daily pussy licking by the media, because she had one good year riding the pandemic = which has nothing to do with her long term world-changing technology strategy.

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TesticularFortitude
#37 2022-10-01 13:38:56

Re: CWONT.COM >>> Post your HOT Stock/Crypto Tips Here!!

., wrote:

of course she loves this shyt, she makes a commission whether the index goes up or down. That fuqing turd is still down %65 percent (it'll turn any day now....lol).

No doubt she loves the daily pussy licking by the media, because she had one good year riding the pandemic = which has nothing to do with her long term world-changing technology strategy.

yes
cash_pallet.gif
firefirefirefirefire

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