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Empty MaybeBy now, it's clear that the only way the tech industry can justify the cost of AI is if it replaces vast swaths of the human workforce with machines that run 24/7.
The bad news is that this situation has created a world-historic financial market that, by some metrics, is looking worse than the run-up to the Great Depression. The good news is that this future of an AI takeover is looking increasingly unlikely, at least at the industry's current pace, a fact which is now dawning on some of the biggest rubes and dupes in the corporate world.
According to a new survey from "Big Four" accounting firm KPMG, a significant number of corporate executives are reeling from sticker shock over new usage-based AI pricing schemes. Though enterprises could once count on AI companies to subsidize the price of large language models via flat-rate contracts, that's no longer a given, as the rising cost of computational power forces the entire tech sector into a defensive posture.
"As usage-based pricing models become more common, many organizations are still building the capabilities required to forecast, monitor, and manage AI spending effectively," the report authors write. Translation: one third of execs had no plan for how to actually use AI productively, a fact which is becoming increasingly clear now that the meter is running.
The finding underscores what many workers forced to use AI tools on the job have come to suspect: that an alarming number of corporate leaders treat AI as a plug-and-play solution for lowering overheard without understanding the how of it all, a kind of magical thinking entirely divorced from practical reality.
Whether AI will ever perform on the level required to pay off the billions of dollars in bills would take a miracle breakthrough.
https://futurism.com/future-society/exe … ed-billing
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PelvicOarfishEmpty. You're out here selling free lunch AI where the only way the bill pencils is machines that work 24/7 and never need a bathroom break. That's just fire-everyone-keep-the-lights-on with better branding. I still read "worse than the run-" like you meant sock market while dudes in ties were buying mainframes. Zero replies already. Board doing god's work.
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Welcome to the Tech industry. Remember, software companies never have money & are more Tight-fisted than Schlomo.
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Can you give us an entire Blackmagic hardware suite "for evaluation?"
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No.
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And even at the new higher pricing schemes the AI companies are still providing service at an operating loss while completely bullshytting the markets on their depreciation costs.
Meanwhile much cheaper Chinese competitors are gobbling up global market share.
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PelvicOarfish wrote:
Empty. You're out here selling free lunch AI where the only way the bill pencils is machines that work 24/7 and never need a bathroom break. That's just fire-everyone-keep-the-lights-on with better branding. I still read "worse than the run-" like you meant sock market while dudes in ties were buying mainframes. Zero replies already. Board doing god's work.
G&A is only 10% of META's 42% operating margin. So what if they get margins to 50-60% with automation? The same work could be moved to India or Philippines overnight too.
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The computer industry has always been 50% hype. Remember MITI's Fifth Generation Computer Systems initiative? Y2K? Quantum computing? Big data?
I took FORTRAN at the university using punch cards and met Evans & Sutherland ... now teenage retards edit images on the fly. Maybe the hype is what has allowed dump trucks of money to keep things moving forward. 
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SpankyThe hype is less hype than before. The costs are separate from the outcomes. The outcomes are legit. Whether or not they make sense at the current price point, I don't know.
But the math is simple enough. Can I run an agent 24/7 against a model for 250 days for less cost than a human and still get the same results as the human?
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.,wrote:
And even at the new higher pricing schemes the AI companies are still providing service at an operating loss while completely bullshytting the markets on their depreciation costs.
Meanwhile much cheaper Chinese competitors are gobbling up global market share.
I think DeepSeek was the crack in the dam. If you can get say 80%/90% as good for half the cost - how do you justify these insane data center build-outs. You can RAG/tool call locally and connect to it to pre-trained models via cloud - or some other combination of mixed use.
If you truly believe in some sort of AGI/Singularity - then investing will be useless as money will become obsolete.
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Spanky wrote:
But the math is simple enough. Can I run an agent 24/7 against a model for 250 days for less cost than a human and still get the same results as the human?
At present, no.
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., wrote:
I think DeepSeek was the crack in the dam. If you can get say 80%/90% as good for half the cost - how do you justify these insane data center build-outs. You can RAG/tool call locally and connect to it to pre-trained models via cloud - or some other combination of mixed use.
Meta selling GPU access is another crack in the dam.
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Sockpuppetwrote:
At present, no.
I am not so sure.
Your guess doesn’t sound very informed.
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Sockpuppet wrote:
I am not so sure.
Your guess doesn’t sound very informed.
I'm in the Zitron camp:
https://youtu.be/3u0KeTC7jso
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SockpuppetCool. The video thumbnails, nor anything you have said, supports your assertion that an AI agent can’t currently replace a human at a cost lower than the employer pays the human.
wrote:
I'm in the Zitron camp:
https://youtu.be/3u0KeTC7jso
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I'm skeptical on the scaling thingy. Take a billion LineShine (record holding Chinese supercomputer) machines all running since the the big bang; their output is DWARFED by the number of ways to shuffle a deck of playing cards.
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.,I also just don't believe it's a "winner take all" situation - which is their sales pitch for burning money. There are many competing models out there, and many usage approaches that are continuing to evolve. That's why they're IPO-ing now at peak speculation.
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Businesses are increasingly moving towards China's free & open source AI models, because the costs are dramatically cheaper.
In fact, with China's open source AI models, businesses have the option to download everything for free, and run everything on their own hardware.
The US government response will be to ban US companies from using China's free & open source AI models.
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Chinese AI models are gaining ground with U.S. companies as OpenAI, Anthropic costs surge
Tue, Jul 7 2026
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/07/chinese … 180abb6e55 [Highly Credible Source (Liberal)]
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Lawmakers probe growing use of Chinese AI models in U.S. companies
Wed, Jul 8 2026
U.S. lawmakers are considering strategies to halt the growing adoption of Chinese AI models by homegrown companies.
Chinese models have gained traction among U.S. firms as they’ve closed the performance gap with American rivals while being cheaper to use.
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/08/chinese … 180abb6e55 [Highly Credible Source (Liberal)]
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The place I work goes back and forth between demanding everyone show how they're adding value with AI, and then panicking that the AIs aren't locked down hard enough. No concrete written guidelines or demonstrations of the "right way".
They even put a question on the annual eval form asking people to explain how they were using AI to benefit the company.
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wrote:
The place I work goes back and forth between demanding everyone show how they're adding value with AI, and then panicking that the AIs aren't locked down hard enough. No concrete written guidelines or demonstrations of the "right way".
They even put a question on the annual eval form asking people to explain how they were using AI to benefit the company.
I'm using AI to get dirt on management.
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Sockpuppet wrote:
Cool. The video thumbnails, nor anything you have said, supports your assertion that an AI agent can’t currently replace a human at a cost lower than the employer pays the human.
If an agent can replace a human, then companies should have no issue with full-price token based billing.
Companies thought they were going to get $20,000 of tokens for $200 per month.
The math doesn't work.
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wrote:
The place I work goes back and forth between demanding everyone show how they're adding value with AI, and then panicking that the AIs aren't locked down hard enough. No concrete written guidelines or demonstrations of the "right way".
They even put a question on the annual eval form asking people to explain how they were using AI to benefit the company.
CFOs are asking for real return on investment.
AI is wonderful, until the bill shows up.
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SamplesBoiwrote:
I'm skeptical on the scaling thingy. Take a billion LineShine (record holding Chinese supercomputer) machines all running since the the big bang; their output is DWARFED by the number of ways to shuffle a deck of playing cards.
And yet you can still come up with strategies and even determine outcomes of card games despite that fact.
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wrote:
Businesses are increasingly moving towards China's free & open source AI models, because the costs are dramatically cheaper.
Local inference as the eventual winner?
Shove the inference costs to the end-user sucker.
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wrote:
Local inference as the eventual winner?
Shove the inference costs to the end-user sucker.
There is no "shoving". Businesses can choose cloud hosting or local hosting.
And China's open source AI models are far more efficient than US closed source AI models.
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DeepSeek's new models are so efficient they'll run on a toaster ... by which we mean Huawei's NPUs
Now available in preview, DeepSeek V4 cuts inference costs to a fraction of R1
Fri 24 Apr 2026
Chinese AI darling DeepSeek is back with a new open weights large language model that promises performance to rival the best proprietary American LLMs. Perhaps more importantly, it claims to dramatically reduce inference costs and it extends support for Huawei's Ascend family of AI accelerators.
https://www.theregister.com/software/20 … gs/5227950
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., wrote:
I also just don't believe it's a "winner take all" situation - which is their sales pitch for burning money. There are many competing models out there, and many usage approaches that are continuing to evolve. That's why they're IPO-ing now at peak speculation.
What happens when there's no money left to burn?
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wrote:
Lawmakers probe growing use of Chinese AI models in U.S. companies
Wed, Jul 8 2026
U.S. lawmakers are considering strategies to halt the growing adoption of Chinese AI models by homegrown companies.
Chinese models have gained traction among U.S. firms as they’ve closed the performance gap with American rivals while being cheaper to use.
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/08/chinese … 180abb6e55 [Highly Credible Source (Liberal)]
Sounds like a very GOP solution… making the vast majority of U.S. businesses less competitive globally in order to benefit a small handful of politically favored.
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