TAIL RISK DASHBOARD BLACK SWAN

BBobop Tool #74

Enter tickers to analyze tail risk and extreme event probability

Metrics

VaR — Value at Risk. Max loss at given confidence level.

CVaR / ES — Expected Shortfall. Average loss in the tail beyond VaR.

Tail Index — Power-law exponent (Hill estimator). Lower = fatter tails.

Black Swan P — Probability of a >3σ daily move based on empirical distribution.

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